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Simeon Mitropolitski

Simeon Mitropolitski is a Canadian analyst, of Bulgarian origin, and a former syndicated columnist with the Bulgarian News Agency (BTA). He is the author of several hundred articles dealing with hot political and economic topics, both national and international.

He was part of the first group of Bulgarian intellectuals and students that began the opposition movement that finally put an end to the communist regime in this country in 1989, and in 1996-1997 participated in international observation teams during the elections in several Balkan countries - Romania, Albania and Bulgaria.

In 2002 Simeon and his family moved from Bulgaria to Canada where they live now in Montreal, province of Quebec. Simeon is a Master of Political Science from McGill University and a B.A. of Political Science and History.

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30 December 2005

Political uncertainties looming for Bhutan and Nepal

© 2005, IRED.Com, Inc., Simeon Mitropolitski

Two small nations located in the Himalayan Mountains, Bhutan and Nepal, face uncertain political future. Their landlocked location, poor economies and the lack of interest from the world in their modernization may precipitate unfortunate development in any one of them. It's with great unhappiness that we may conclude that these two nations have failed so far their encounter with modernity. Nepal has recently lost many tourists due to the civil war raging since 1996. Bhutan may face uneasy transfer of power in 2008 when the current king steps down.

Nepal

Nepal has for a long time been associated with international teams storming Himalayan highest peaks. Hundreds of thousands pleasure tourists have also visited this country each year to gaze at the magnificent panorama. This pilgrimage may soon end due to the civil conflict ravaging parts of the country. Maoist rebel movement tries to destroy the monarchy and it enjoys some support not only among the rural poor, but also among the urban dwellers. Monitoring the development of this civil conflict, it's with great sadness that we may conclude about devastating effects it has on the national economy, which is by any means one of the least development in the world. Unless this conflict is solved to the satisfaction of all parties, there would be no social and economic development in Nepal and little space for international tourism. To end this conflict, one of the parties must win, or they must reach a lasting peace. The government forces seem unable to overcome the rebels. No geopolitical interests require the West to help this government. Signing peace seems more remote than ever since 1996. The results are that foreigners have deserted Nepal and the lack of income associated with the international tourism makes the situation even less stable.

Bhutan

This country is very dependent upon India for financial aid and for directions in its foreign relations. Up to 60% of the government incomes come from India. The political system is symbolically centered on the personality of the king. That explains the anxiety with which the population learned about his decision to step down by 2008 and to be replaced by a member of his family. Nobody can predict the way this country may evolve, but one thing is certain, it will be less stable. On the other hand, the government seems ready to open the country for more international tourists. There is a clear trend to grant more tourist visas, starting from less than 7,000 some years ago and reaching almost 15,000 in 2005. This steady quota increase may be interpreted as a step toward removing the cap altogether. It will be interesting to watch what the next administration will do after 2008, will it open the country or even these small steps will represent just brief interlude between long periods of self-isolation.

Bhutan and Nepal, profiles:
  • Area: 47,000 sq km; 140,800 sq km.
  • Land use (arable land): 3.09%; 21.68%.
  • Population: Between 800,000 and 2.3 million; 27.6 million.
  • Population growth rate: 2.11%; 2.20% (2005 est.).
  • Life expectancy at birth: 54.39 years; 59.8 years.
  • Total fertility rate: 4.81 children born/woman; 4.19 children born/woman (2005 est.).
  • Literacy: 42.2%; 45.2%.
  • GDP per capita: purchasing power parity $1,400; $1,500 (2004 est.).
  • Internet users: 20,000; 175,000 (2003);
(Source: CIA - World Factbook 2005, Reuters)

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See also the directory of companies providing real estate services in, and general real estate information of Bhutan and Nepal.

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